India’s sugar exports are projected to reach 7.5–8 lakh tonnes during the 2025-26 marketing season, as weak global prices continue to limit overseas shipments, according to an official estimate.
The lower export outlook reflects subdued international sugar prices, which have reduced the attractiveness of Indian cargoes in the global market despite adequate domestic production and exportable surplus. Exporters are expected to remain cautious unless global prices recover or freight economics improve.
India, one of the world’s largest sugar producers, plays a key role in balancing domestic supply with overseas demand. Government policy decisions, including export quotas and domestic stock management, also influence shipment volumes each season.
Market participants note that while mills remain interested in export opportunities, current global price levels are making many deals commercially unviable. Competition from major producers such as Brazil and Thailand has also added pressure on prices in international markets.
The projected 7.5–8 lakh tonnes would represent a relatively modest export volume compared with stronger seasons in previous years, underscoring the impact of soft global pricing and changing trade dynamics on India’s sugar sector.
Future export performance will depend on global sugar price recovery, monsoon conditions, domestic cane output, and any policy support measures introduced during the season.